Analysis
Analysis Notebooks: Daily Reads for Gold, the US Indices, Oil, FX Pairs and Sectors, Re-Scored Every Minute
Twenty-seven daily notebooks, gold first, each built from weighted releases and market checks into a verdict and a strength gauge, re-scored every minute, with the desk's notes for the day.
The notebooks are the desk's method applied one instrument at a time. Each day, every release and market check that bears on an instrument is given a weight and a sign, and the read is their sum, capped by family so that one theme cannot shout down the rest. The result is a verdict, a strength gauge and a list of what is pulling each way, re-scored every minute as the tape moves.
Gold is the first notebook and the model for the others: the real yield, the dollar, the central bank calendar, positioning and the day's releases, each weighed. The same method runs for the Nasdaq 100, the S&P 500, the Dow, the DAX, the Euro Stoxx 50, the ASX 200, the FTSE 100, the Nikkei 225, the Hang Seng, the Russell 2000, oil, natural gas, silver, Bitcoin, the dollar index, eleven currency pairs and the equity sectors as a group.
All twenty-seven sit on one page, the current read of each as a card and the selected notebook's full analysis beneath, with a change list under its price panel for every timeframe from five minutes to a day and a space for your own notes on the day.
What it shows
- Gold and twenty-six other instruments, one method
- Weighted releases and market checks summed into a verdict and a strength gauge
- Re-scored every minute through the session
- Every notebook on one page, with change lists from five minutes to a day
Guides that explain it
Macro and rates
What moves gold
The drivers of the gold price in order of weight: real yields, the dollar, central bank buying, ETF flows and positioning, and how the price itself is set.
4 min read
Macro and rates
The dollar index (DXY)
How the US Dollar Index is built from six currencies, its weights and history, what it leaves out, and why its moves run through gold, oil and emerging markets.
3 min read
Macro and rates
Bond prices and yields
Why bond prices fall when yields rise, with a worked example, what duration measures, real yields and breakevens, and why the 10-year Treasury matters.
3 min read